It is a daily ritual for millions of Australians, but if you have noticed the price of your morning flat white or soy latte increase, brace yourself — it is likely to get worse.

By the end of the year, coffee lovers will be paying up to $7 for a regular cup as cafes nationwide struggle to absorb growing overhead costs warned David Parnham, president of the Café Owners and Baristas Association of Australia.

“What’s happening globally is there are shortages obviously from catastrophes that are happening in places like Brazil with frosts, and certain growing conditions in some of the coffee growing areas,” Mr Parnham said.

“The cost of shipping has become just ridiculous.”

Key points:

  • Prepare to be paying up to $7 a cup by the end of the year
  • Shipping costs and natural disasters in coffee regions are being blamed for the price increase
  • Australians consume one billion cups of coffee annually, but cafe owners say an increase in price won’t change that

It’s nearly five times the container prices of two years ago due to global shortages of containers and ships to be able to take things around the world.

Frosts in Brazil have impacted supply.(Supplied: Melbourne Coffee Merchants)

The pain will be felt from the cities to the outback, but Mr Parnham said the increase was well overdue, with the average $4 price for a standard latte, cappuccino and flat white remaining stable for years.

“The reality is it should be $6-7. It’s just that cafés are holding back on passing that pricing on per cup to the consumer,” he said.

But roaster Raoul Hauri said it hadn’t made a dent in sales, with more than 300 customers still coming through the doors for their daily fix. “No one really batted an eyelid,” he said. “We thought we would get more pushback, but I think at the moment people understand.

“It is overdue and unfortunately it can’t be sustained, and at some point the consumer has to bear that.”

Paving the way for Australian producers

While coffee drinkers will be feeling the pinch, Australian producers like Candy MacLaughlin from Skybury Roasters hopes the increasing cost of imports will pave the way for growth in the local industry, allowing it to compete in the market.

“[In the ] overall cost of business, we haven’t been able to drop our prices to be competitive, so we’ve really worked on that niche base,” Ms MacLaughlin said.

“All those things will help us to grow our coffee plantation once more.”

Candy and her husband Marion produce 40 tonnes of coffee annually but they are prepared to scale up operations(Supplied)

She said the industry could eventually emulate the gin industry, with boutique operations cropping up across the country.

“I think the demand for Australian coffee at the moment is an ever-changing landscape and more and more Aussies are starting to question where their food comes from, who is growing it”

“What you will get is all these kinds of niche coffee plantations who develop a very unique flavour profile and then market in funky packaging and appeal to certain markets,” she said.

“That’s where I see the next stage of the Australian coffee industry going.”

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Famous orca mother carrying body of another dead calf in act of grief: researchers

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A mother killer whale who famously pushed the body of her dead newborn for 17 days in 2018 has lost another calf, and researchers say she is again carrying the body in an apparent act of grief.

The Center for Whale Research said in a New Year’s Day post on social media that the mother known as Tahlequah, or J35, has now lost two of her four documented calves.

The centre had announced on Dec. 21 that the new female calf was travelling with J pod in Puget Sound near Seattle, on the northwest coast of Washington state. The pod also frequents British Columbia waters.

But the organization expressed concern about the calf’s health, and on Wednesday confirmed the calf had died, although a second apparently healthy newborn was also observed with the pod.

Brad Hanson, a research scientist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Northwest Fisheries Science Center, told a news conference Thursday that researchers are not yet sure why the calf died, but a necropsy likely won’t be possible.

“Given that J35 is very attached to it, the likelihood of us being able to recover the calf is fairly low,” he said.

Hanson said researchers are concerned about Tahlequah’s welfare as she continues to carry the calf’s body, draped over the top of her head. 

“That essentially results in a lot more drag, and so her energy expenditure is going to be fairly significant,” he said, noting it may also make foraging difficult during a time of year when fish availability is more limited.

“It is a concern that she was spending a lot of energy to try to take care of this calf that she has lost.”

But, he said, she is not lagging behind her pod.

“She’s still integrated as part of the group.”

An orca is barely visible above the surface with a small orca above its head. In the background there's a beach and homes. It's all quite grey.
J35, also known as Tahlequah, is seen pushing her dead calf, J61, near Seattle, Wash., on Jan. 1, 2025. (NOAA Fisheries)

The Center for Whale Research, based in Washington state, says the death of any calf among the endangered southern resident killer whale population is “a tremendous loss,” but the latest is “particularly devastating” because she was a female and because of J35’s history.

Michael Weiss, research director for the centre, told the news conference that other southern resident orcas have been observed carrying dead calves before, but not for weeks as J35 did in 2018.

“It’s usually been kind of one-off observations within a particular encounter, as opposed to multiple weeks,” he said.

Joe Gaydos, the science director for marine conservation program SeaDoc Society, said “it is fair to say that she is grieving, or mourning.”

“Over the last few years, we realized that we have the same neurotransmitters that they have,” he said of the whales. “I think it’s fair to say from a scientific perspective that they have the same hard wiring, [so] they’re going to have the same emotions.”

The research centre said the sex and mother of the other recent newborn calf have not yet been identified, but it appears “physically and behaviourally normal.”

Southern resident orcas along the West Coast are categorized into three families known as the J, K and L pods, each of which has its own dialect and calls that differ from the others. There are also transient orcas in the region known as Bigg’s killer whales, which feed primarily on marine mammals.

A mother orca balancing her dead baby on her nose trying to keep it afloat.
J35 is pictured in 2018 balancing her dead baby on her nose trying to keep it afloat. She carried the carcass for 17 days in the area around the San Juan Islands in Washington state. (Kelley Balcomb-Bartok)

Fisheries and Oceans Canada and Parks Canada, in consultation with Transport Canada and Environment and Climate Change Canada, completed an assessment of the southern resident population last year, finding the population had dwindled to 73, with only 23 breeding females.

The Center for Whale Research also said the population had dipped to 73 in its July 1, 2024, census following the death of two adult male orcas.

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